Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003130 0.003431 0.003751 0.004118 0.004529 0.004976 0.005498
2026-01-04 0.002642 0.003067 0.003553 0.004152 0.004874 0.005721 0.006798
2026-01-11 0.002314 0.002791 0.003362 0.004098 0.005035 0.006195 0.007760
2026-01-18 0.002085 0.002591 0.003219 0.004062 0.005179 0.006628 0.008682
2026-01-25 0.001899 0.002420 0.003085 0.004008 0.005278 0.006991 0.009528
2026-02-01 0.001770 0.002307 0.003011 0.004018 0.005449 0.007453 0.010545
2026-02-08 0.001640 0.002179 0.002903 0.003967 0.005523 0.007773 0.011380
2026-02-15 0.001520 0.002054 0.002787 0.003889 0.005546 0.008013 0.012105
2026-02-22 0.001445 0.001986 0.002743 0.003909 0.005709 0.008471 0.013216
2026-03-01 0.001400 0.001957 0.002753 0.004006 0.005994 0.009139 0.014740
2026-03-08 0.001317 0.001866 0.002664 0.003945 0.006022 0.009393 0.015583
2026-03-15 0.001238 0.001776 0.002570 0.003867 0.006015 0.009585 0.016331
2026-03-22 0.001171 0.001702 0.002500 0.003829 0.006081 0.009924 0.017426
2026-03-29 0.001124 0.001658 0.002473 0.003860 0.006267 0.010496 0.019043
2026-04-05 0.001064 0.001589 0.002402 0.003811 0.006309 0.010809 0.020193
2026-04-12 0.001013 0.001530 0.002344 0.003777 0.006373 0.011166 0.021476
2026-04-19 0.000962 0.001470 0.002279 0.003729 0.006404 0.011461 0.022665
2026-04-26 0.000927 0.001432 0.002249 0.003737 0.006542 0.011974 0.024397
2026-05-03 0.000884 0.001379 0.002191 0.003690 0.006568 0.012267 0.025673
2026-05-10 0.000840 0.001323 0.002122 0.003619 0.006541 0.012446 0.026710
2026-05-17 0.000815 0.001295 0.002102 0.003637 0.006691 0.013010 0.028751
2026-05-24 0.000802 0.001290 0.002120 0.003727 0.006991 0.013927 0.031815
2026-05-31 0.000767 0.001244 0.002064 0.003670 0.006986 0.014169 0.033185